In 1963 Mathematician and Meteorologist Edward Lorenz, while developing new weather forecast methodologies, decided to input an ever slight variation to the initial condition assigned to a model he used to study the evolution of a weather system: results were incredible. Despite the infinitesimal dimension of the variation, the resulting meteorological forecast was completely changed even in the very short term. In one case the weather system would have developed into a severe storm devastating large areas of the USA, while in the other case it would have simply become weaker and would have thereafter disappeared. Years later, on completing his research, Professor Lorenz gave a speech at which was soon to become very famous: “Does the flap of a butterfly’s wings in Brazil set off a tornado in Texas?”.
The basis for a modern theory of complex systems were laid down and the prototypical example had found its “folk” definition as “Butterfly Effect”, which indicated the high sensitivity of complex systems to their own initial conditions. Applications of this theory thereafter extended to a wide number of fields including, finally, organizational studies. Flyrad, which was founded by professionals and academics working in industries with high risk activities and high damage potentials, embraced this theory from its very beginnings.
We believe every organization must be analyzed in its complexity and in an evolutionary perspective: initial conditions must be “re-constructed” and studied form the smallest aspects to the general ones: from atom to flight. Observation of the long term effects of initial conditions and the analysis of interference factors will help finding strengths and weaknesses of the organization, evaluating its resilience and finally its capability of reacting to hazardous events.
Flyrad does not produce standard solutions for everyone: We use insiders’ support to design tailored solutions for each and every different operator. Find out more on the way we will change your way of thinking Safety. Welcome.